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Article de OPINIóN TELECOMMUNICATIONS
2009-04-03

The telecommunications in Latin America in 2009

The perspective de the telecommunications in Latin America for this hopeful year are not nothing. And it is that world-wide the economic crisis begins to affect the sector de the telecommunications. The companies reduce costs and the investments slow down due to the economic problems that begin to make an impression on the investments de the giants de telecommunications.

The technological giants as Motorola or very same Microsdet even begins to feel the “first blows” de this “economic Crack” that according to many analysts will be necessary to go back to the Great depression de the 1929 to find a time de similar crisis.

Perhaps it is the giant de Telephone Spanish telephony that better is adapting to these times de crisis. The investments de Telephone in Chile are being based. We remember that the shareholders de the Chilean branch de Telephone have given green light to the takeover presented/displayed by the Spanish company. The country is Chile where Telephone “ has put all its eyes ” in making prdeitable its investments in Latin America and is that Chile is certainly the developed Latin American country more technologically. In the rest de countries de the Telephone continent it has a competitor whom rarely “he ends winning to him” that it is the empire de Carlos Slim or what is the same Telmex, America Móvil or Telcel. We will see, as it advances the 2009, in as affects to Telmex or Movable America the development de the economic crisis.

Doubt does not fit to us that Telephone is going to orient its strategy for 2009 in Latin America. Jose Maria Alvarez-Mat, chief de a main directorate de Telephone Latin America, during his intervention in XXII Encuentro de Telecomunicaciones de the celebrated UIMP the 2 de September in Santander de 2008, indicated that Telephone he has already reached the 150 million clients in Latin America. It is obvious that he has frankly difficult to surpass the technological means conglomerate that presides over Carlos Slim but it is the Latin American technological market where the strength de Telephone will be put on approval. It will be the market de Latin America where we will see as one develops Telephone in the days de crisis. Telephone he also put his sight in the technological sector de Europe This but it is possible that he declines to increase his investments in East Europe since the old continent is possibly the world-wide zone where it notices the financial turbulences more, besides the tremendous recession that very many analysts for present year 2009 foretell.

In appearance in Santander during the last summer, the chief de a main directorate de Telephone Latin America reiterated his confidence in the success de the technological sector in Latin America. Jose Maria Alvarez-Palletese referred to possible rates superiors to 8% until 2010, that if their perspective are fulfilled, will consolidate to Latin America like the Region with majors levels de growth de the sector de the telecommunications in means term.

At the moment Telephone he is placed to global level in Latin America like one de the main generators de use in the economies. Telephone she has been the first operator in taking to Latin America the Broadband, the digital television and the most innovating solutions de telecommunications and has facilitated the access to the TIC to all the sectors de the society.

As he affects the crisis to the sector de the telecommunications in Latin America? Perhaps this question does not have an immediate answer but the own advance de the year 2009 will be the one who if says to us truly the “economic crisis”, that so propagates to wind and navigates all the economic experts, is going to make an impression on economic emergent the Latin Americans and if the companies who defer their technological services you see affected. But what nobody has been asked it is”and because the sector technological cannot be the route to leave this economic crisis? And because the technological sector is not going to be the motor de the Latin American economies in 2009 to be leaving the “disaster” that announces to us?

A study made by IDC, supplier leader de strategic consultancy, technological intelligence, analysis de the industry, services de integrated marketing, conferences and information de markets for manufacturers, suppliers and users de IT and Telecommunications, indicates, that in spite de the economic difficulties that at the moment we are seeming, in countries as for example Argentina the perspective are quite positive and according to the calculations de IDC from 2009 to 2011 in the Argentine homes there will be 3.8 million computers and the accounts de broadband Internet will reach 2.8 million. With these data Alexander Oliveros, person in charge de IDC in Argentina, explains that, in this period de time and in spite de the economic crisis, the broadband penetration in Argentina will be de the one hundred percent on the amount de homes with computer.

From Telcommunity we think that there will be to hope what is really going to be the impact de the crisis in the sector de the telecommunications. In order to evaluate this impact it will be necessary to have patience and to hope, a prudential time, that allows us, with data in the hand, to calibrate the consequences de the economic recession in the technological sector. It is reason why we think that there will be to hope the conclusion de the third trimester de 2009 to pronounce to us without fear to mistake to us or to be mistaken in our forecasts. Also from Tecommunity we have a prognosis and is that the “forts” will only survive this crisis and in the Latin American market only there are two prepared companies to draw for these terrible perspective: Movable and Telephone America.



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